As most of you will be aware, the Drone Russian vassal alliances of Evoke, Northern Coalition[DOT], and Raiden alliances, along with some elements of Pandemic Legion have initiated the invasion of Deklein region, home ground to Goonswarm. The Mittani is calling in favors to bring reinforcements to bear. Heavily outnumbered in terms of supercapitals, the Goons are relying on cynojammers protected by overwhelming numbers in their subcapital fleet in order to hold their territory.
What could be the last stand of the Goons has begun
Meanwhile, the Mostly Harmless Alliance, caught between the hammer and anvil of external attacks by the Drone Russian vassal coalition and conflict within its own leadership has finally convulsed and given up the ghost.
In the South, the Drone Russians (DRF) have taken back the Detroid region and, depending on how matters develop in the North, are poised to initiate operations against the Southern Russain Coalition. If things stall for their vassals in the North, the DRF might hold back their Southward strike in order to support the Deklein invasion. Otherwise, with matters settling down in their new territories, expect the DRF to open a front against the South, likely with support of the main body of Pandemic Legion, focusing initially on the Southern Russian Coalition (SRC) and their allies.
A number of the remaining free nullsec alliances, many with members weary of the sovereignty warfare grind after the DRF invasion of Northern Coalition space, occupy themselves with "real PvP" in and around Delve. Lacking the will and the wherewithal to fight a full blown sovereignty war, their hope appears to hang on indifference by the Drone Russians. By focusing their attentions on each other or the SRC, and presenting no threat to the DRF, they hope to escape Drone Russian attention in the event of a Southern invasion from that quarter.
Such hopes are an old song often sung. Its refrain echoes up and down the dusty halls of history.
We all know how it ends.